Newly released data has suggested that there is currently no majority support for Theresa May’s Brexit deal in any of the 632 constituencies in England, Scotland and Wales.
The data, collated by YouGov for the People’s Vote campaign, shows that the PM has failed to attract the support of the people of Britain for her Brexit deal, which is widely expected to be defeated when it is due to be voted on by MPs on Tuesday.
Speaking to BBC Radio 4 last week, Conservative party chairman Brandon Lewis said: “Parliamentarians have a really, really vital decision to make. The EU and the EU Commission do as well. We have this vote on Tuesday. We need to win that vote.
“If we don’t win that on Tuesday then nobody quite knows where we will end up – whether we end up with a hard Brexit with no deal… but there is also a risk with Parliament that we end up with no Brexit at all.”
In the event of the deal failing to pass, it is expected that MPs will vote on whether to accept a no-deal Brexit. If that option is also rejected, MPs will then likely vote on whether to extend Article 50 to delay the UK leaving the EU.
Even if Mrs May does win the vote on her Brexit deal, it seems increasingly unlikely that all the necessary processes could be completed before the scheduled exit day of 29 March 2019.